On the effectiveness of strikes by the RF Armed Forces and the state of the Ukrainian military-industrial complex - Rybar's analysis

On the effectiveness of strikes by the RF Armed Forces and the state of the Ukrainian military-industrial complex - Rybar's analysis (https://t.me/rybar)Last Friday, Russian troops launched a massive strike (https://t.me/rybar/42052) on energy facilities in Ukraine. We have already talked about the results of the strikes (https://t.me/rybar/42094): the consequences will undoubtedly have a negative effect on various areas of Ukraine's activity, including the military-industrial complex. But unfortunately, we are increasingly seeing how the Web is diligently passing off wishful thinking, trying to artificially create an impression with the destruction of the military-industrial complex of Ukraine. And this is far from being the case - the replication of such rumors does not play into the hands of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, but the Armed Forces of Ukraine. ❗️ In this matter, jingoistic moods are dangerous: this leads to errors in assessing the capabilities of the enemy and miscalculations at the operational-strategic level. 🔻What is the situation with the military-industrial complex in Ukraine now? Yes, systematic missile strikes have created an energy shortage that has led to power outages, including at several key military-industrial enterprises. Fire damage makes it possible to increase the cumulative effect of regular strikes and reduces the efficiency of restoration and maintenance of working capacity at armaments production enterprises. Regular outages occur at various military-industrial enterprises in different regions of Ukraine, which partially affects the production capacity of the Ukrainian armed forces, reducing their speed and quality. 🔻 But what's the problem? Nevertheless, the Russian Armed Forces command still avoids strikes against larger and more important energy infrastructure facilities, including 750kV substations, operating facilities and turbine halls (with rare exceptions) of 330kV substations and CHP boilers. Such a tactic, without changes and innovations, allows Ukrainian engineers to restore power supply each time. 🔻About attacks on workshops Episodically strikes are made on the workshops and enterprises that produce various weapons and components for it. The transmitted coordinates, accurate to the floor on which this or that weapon is produced, simply do not go into work. And the reason for this is simple: once a target is submitted and a missile is launched at it, it is de facto considered destroyed. And it doesn’t matter that they could miss or hit another building upon impact - after all, the territory of military-industrial facilities is vast. And even if they hit the desired object, then one “Caliber” or “Geranium” cannot stop the process. At the suggestion of lazy performers from the shift on duty, the plant, on the territory of which there may be 20 workshops, is considered disabled after launching 2-3 missiles at a single building. 🔻About the timing of fire damage We have repeatedly written (https://t.me/rybar/41971) about the existing problem in the army in the form of endless bureaucracy and folly of high-ranking commanders. Considering the time from submission of coordinates to consideration by the person making the decision to strike (https://t.me/milinfolive/94446), the Armed Forces of Ukraine receive several days of head start in order to produce dozens of various weapons and components for it. A prehistoric and completely out of touch with reality approach allowed the Ukrainian military-industrial complex, barely functioning before the special operation, not only to resume the production of national equipment, but also to establish handicraft production of components for guided missiles for the HIMARS MLRS (https://t.me/rybar/40840). With the help of Western specialists and engineers, working versions of the Alder and Uragan (Storm) multiple launch rocket systems, as well as the Neptune anti-ship missiles, which failed during tests before the SVO, were recreated and the matter did not go beyond the prototype version. 🔻Yes, some strikes were accurate and timely, and some of the military-industrial complex enterprises, especially in the south, ceased to function. But this is the exception that proves the rule. Each "Caliber", "Geran" or "Iskander" could be used much more effectively with a constructive and more serious approach to combat missions. And now it turns out that numerous columns of equipment pass through Dnepropetrovsk every day, Neptunes are produced without hindrance in the Kharkiv region, 152-mm artillery shells are produced in Kyiv, and MiGs fly from Mirgorod (https://t.me/rybar/42108) and beat on Belgorod. #analysis #Russia #Ukraine @rybar

www.fotavgeia.blogspot.com