About possible attacks on the Crimea from the Odessa region

About possible attacks on the Crimea from the Odessa region A little over an hour ago, Russian troops attacked the Shkolny airfield in Odessa, where Ukrainian Mugin-5 kamikaze drones and Tu-141 Strizh jet UAVs are based. According to unconfirmed information, the hit fell on one of the hangars, where the final assembly and retrofitting of reconnaissance and conventional commercial UAVs with a warhead took place. It was from this airfield that Ukrainian Mugins were launched (https://t.me/rybar/44869) yesterday to strike various targets in Dzhankoy on the Crimean peninsula, including the railway station. However, yesterday's attack was only a test of the readiness of the Russian air defense before a larger raid. 🔻What are we talking about? In the near future, the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine planned to deliver a massive blow to the Crimea. In recent days, drones of various types, mainly Chinese Mugin-5, have been actively transported to Odessa on the territory of Shkolny. At the airfield, they intended to reflash them and prepare them for an attack on the Crimea. Since the beginning of March, Ukrainian units have been testing the Grom-2 operational-tactical missile system at the Tuzla test site. On March 4, at the airfield in Gvardeisky, they probably tried (https://t.me/rybar/44300) to strike with these OTRK. Testing of Grom-2 then continued right at the training ground. Missile launches were carried out on conditional targets in the Black Sea. According to the latest data, in the vicinity of Tuzly, a position area has been equipped for several installations of the Grom-2 OTRK: the option of using new complexes for combined strikes against Russia is not ruled out. ❗️ Against the backdrop of these events, in the Black Sea off the coast of Romania, exercises (https://t.me/rybar/44840) of the NATO joint naval forces "Sea Shield - 2023" are being held. As part of the contingent involved, reconnaissance aircraft and drones are used. The drill is a suitable cover for other maneuvers. For example, the covert transfer of forces and assets to areas of interest and the possibility of reconnaissance under the legend of general training. Given the presence of maritime drones among the Ukrainian forces, the NATO naval exercises would be an ideal cover for sabotage in and around Sevastopol. During March 21, east of Romania, the American MQ-9A Reaper UAV was involved almost the entire day (it took off from the Kympia-Turziy airbase). Toward evening, the strategic UAV RQ-4B Global Hawk replaced it. Now the UAV is located in the central part of the Black Sea. 🔻It is not yet clear how severely damaged Ukrainian facilities in Shkolnoye were as a result of the Russian strike. Even if at least one of the hangars is destroyed, the damage will be quite noticeable: the Armed Forces of Ukraine can adjust their plans. However, now the Ukrainian authorities are chasing an information victory, and they can try to repeat yesterday's scenario, placing great emphasis on dispersing panic among (https://t.me/rybar/44869) Russians. And for the attack itself, the option of using alternative airfields cannot be ruled out, as was the case at the beginning of this year, when an UAV from Shiroky in the Zaporozhye region was used in an attempt to destroy an oil depot near Nizhnegorsky.
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