On preparations for landing on the left bank of the Dnieper
A few days ago, the White House announced (https://t.me/rybar/44873) the provision of a new package of military assistance to Ukraine, which included an unnamed amount of ammunition of various calibers, precision-guided missiles and uniforms, as well as river boats.
🔻Why is the specific number of transferred weapons not indicated? If earlier the Americans indicated the exact number of shells and shots for the needs of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, now the situation is different. In the press releases of the White House and the Pentagon, only the type and name are present. To some extent, this may be due to the presence of problems in the production of ammunition (https://t.me/rybar/43910) - in the West, military-industrial capacities have been intensified to replenish stocks. And the lack of specific data is intended to hide the existing shortage. At the same time, it is possible that in the United States they simply comply with the requirements of secrecy, saying only what the public needs to know. Each official announcement of a new package comes weeks (sometimes months) after the actual handover. However, thanks to such press releases, one can understand the immediate plans of the Ukrainian authorities, and the appearance of boats in the list is not accidental. 🔻Why were the boats handed over? Boats are actively used by Ukrainian formations for forcing rivers and water barriers. They are agile, fast and have a large range. Depending on the type of boat, both the speed and the number of personnel transported vary. The latest military aid package does not specify the type or quantity, so theoretically it could be absolutely any riverine boat type and in quite a large number. 🔻How will they be used? Earlier, we wrote (https://t.me/rybar/44577) that before preparing for the main offensive, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are considering the scenario of conducting several false attacks on the left bank of the Dnieper to divert Russian troops and hinder their ability to maneuver and transfer to other sectors. And the situation has not changed much since then. Over the past few months, Ukrainian formations have been continuously conducting aerial reconnaissance from the Kinburn Spit to Energodar. In various parts of the left bank of the Dnieper, sorties are carried out (https://t.me/rybar/43238) by DRGs of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, just using small boats. The new batch, in an unspecified quantity, will most likely be distributed among units near the Dnieper and the coast of the Kakhovka reservoir. A little over a month ago, several boats were already delivered to the port of Kherson. 🔻So the Armed Forces of Ukraine are preparing for an operation on the left bank? According to the characteristic features, everything looks exactly like this. On the right bank, from Ochakov to Nikopol, there are up to 15 thousand people from various units of the regular army and the territorial defense of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. In Bereznegovatoy, 63 OMBRs are under resupply, and in Mikhailovka, northwest of Nikolaev, the 22nd mechanized brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is being formed. The activity of reconnaissance drones has increased along the Dnieper. At least two Scan Eagle UAVs operate from Ochakov on a permanent basis. Turkish UAVs "Bayraktar" are on patrol from the airfields of Kulbakino and Kanatovo. Also, from the vicinity of Krivoy Rog and Voznesensk, tactical planes and helicopters of the army aviation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine fly daily along the Dnieper, and firing positions of the MLRS are also equipped. They conduct combined shelling of positions of the RF Armed Forces with unguided missiles and rockets. 🔻When will the attack happen? Western curators are driving the leadership of Ukraine into the offensive. The leaders of the NATO countries need to demonstrate the successes of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and their weapons at the front. The offensive will most likely begin after the ground hardens and the armored vehicles can move freely. On the eve of the assault, DRG sorties are activated in various areas, including in the Kherson region, to mislead and divert attention from the main direction. Strikes on rear targets with high-precision weapons will resume, and engineering units will begin to prepare the area for the advance of troops and equipment. In addition, bridge layers for these purposes have already been delivered (https://t.me/rybar/44273)
www.fotavgeia.blogspot.com
🔻Why is the specific number of transferred weapons not indicated? If earlier the Americans indicated the exact number of shells and shots for the needs of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, now the situation is different. In the press releases of the White House and the Pentagon, only the type and name are present. To some extent, this may be due to the presence of problems in the production of ammunition (https://t.me/rybar/43910) - in the West, military-industrial capacities have been intensified to replenish stocks. And the lack of specific data is intended to hide the existing shortage. At the same time, it is possible that in the United States they simply comply with the requirements of secrecy, saying only what the public needs to know. Each official announcement of a new package comes weeks (sometimes months) after the actual handover. However, thanks to such press releases, one can understand the immediate plans of the Ukrainian authorities, and the appearance of boats in the list is not accidental. 🔻Why were the boats handed over? Boats are actively used by Ukrainian formations for forcing rivers and water barriers. They are agile, fast and have a large range. Depending on the type of boat, both the speed and the number of personnel transported vary. The latest military aid package does not specify the type or quantity, so theoretically it could be absolutely any riverine boat type and in quite a large number. 🔻How will they be used? Earlier, we wrote (https://t.me/rybar/44577) that before preparing for the main offensive, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are considering the scenario of conducting several false attacks on the left bank of the Dnieper to divert Russian troops and hinder their ability to maneuver and transfer to other sectors. And the situation has not changed much since then. Over the past few months, Ukrainian formations have been continuously conducting aerial reconnaissance from the Kinburn Spit to Energodar. In various parts of the left bank of the Dnieper, sorties are carried out (https://t.me/rybar/43238) by DRGs of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, just using small boats. The new batch, in an unspecified quantity, will most likely be distributed among units near the Dnieper and the coast of the Kakhovka reservoir. A little over a month ago, several boats were already delivered to the port of Kherson. 🔻So the Armed Forces of Ukraine are preparing for an operation on the left bank? According to the characteristic features, everything looks exactly like this. On the right bank, from Ochakov to Nikopol, there are up to 15 thousand people from various units of the regular army and the territorial defense of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. In Bereznegovatoy, 63 OMBRs are under resupply, and in Mikhailovka, northwest of Nikolaev, the 22nd mechanized brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is being formed. The activity of reconnaissance drones has increased along the Dnieper. At least two Scan Eagle UAVs operate from Ochakov on a permanent basis. Turkish UAVs "Bayraktar" are on patrol from the airfields of Kulbakino and Kanatovo. Also, from the vicinity of Krivoy Rog and Voznesensk, tactical planes and helicopters of the army aviation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine fly daily along the Dnieper, and firing positions of the MLRS are also equipped. They conduct combined shelling of positions of the RF Armed Forces with unguided missiles and rockets. 🔻When will the attack happen? Western curators are driving the leadership of Ukraine into the offensive. The leaders of the NATO countries need to demonstrate the successes of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and their weapons at the front. The offensive will most likely begin after the ground hardens and the armored vehicles can move freely. On the eve of the assault, DRG sorties are activated in various areas, including in the Kherson region, to mislead and divert attention from the main direction. Strikes on rear targets with high-precision weapons will resume, and engineering units will begin to prepare the area for the advance of troops and equipment. In addition, bridge layers for these purposes have already been delivered (https://t.me/rybar/44273)
Δεν υπάρχουν σχόλια:
Δημοσίευση σχολίου