On the situation in Nagorno-Karabakh
Rumors about an impending escalation in Nagorno-Karabakh are increasingly appearing in the information field. Another criticism of the Russian peacekeeping contingent by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan confirms the preparation for provocations directed against the Russian Federation.
Armenian activist Mika Badalyan @mikayelbad wrote that the movement of heavy armored vehicles of Azerbaijani troops was observed along the line of contact. And not only in the Artsakh region, but also in other parts of the border between Armenia and Azerbaijan.
❗️Our sources confirm that the activity of the Azerbaijani army has seriously increased along the border areas. Artillery and tanks are being brought to Armenia, and the largest accumulations of the Azerbaijani Armed Forces are observed in the directions of Vardenis and Jermuk.
The zone of responsibility of the Russian peacekeeping continent (RMK) includes specifically the territory of the unrecognized Republic of Artsakh, but not the rest of Armenia. An attack on the RMK is fraught with a serious escalation that could lead to a confrontation with Russia, which is not part of the plans of the Azerbaijanis, incited by the West.
Provocations in the south of Armenia in the Syunik region can also lead to unpredictable results and a direct response from neighboring Iran. The authorities in Tehran recently once again stated that the forceful change of borders in the region would be a pretext for the intervention of the Iranian armed forces in the conflict. Additional units have already been pulled to the border with Armenia.
The most convenient option not only for the Azerbaijani leadership, but also for the Pashinyan administration, is an escalation somewhere on other sections of the border. Moreover, this can happen in the near future, for example, on the eve of the meeting of the Foreign Ministers of Russia and Armenia on March 20, right before the start of the Muslim holy month of Ramadan, when hostilities should not be conducted.
🔻Why is that?
A confrontation of several days somewhere outside the zone of responsibility of the Russian contingent and at a distance from the Iranian borders is the most profitable option for further vilifying Russia. Pashinyan in this case plays out the Western agenda, emphasizing the scale of the disasters of the population of Artsakh and the inaction (https://t.me/rybar/42679) of the Russian side before the aggression of Azerbaijan.
Thus, anti-Russian sentiments will be artificially created and the ground will be prepared for another call to the West to provide assistance, expel Russian military personnel from Armenia and introduce a European peacekeeping contingent in Artsakh.
Everything is moving towards this scenario, and the Armenian government itself is actively creating a springboard for the implementation of this scenario - the other day, by decree of the President of Armenia, the commander of the joint group of troops of Armenia and Russia was dismissed (https://t.me/SolovievLive/164237) Tigran Parvanyan, who is called "pro-Russian" by the pro-Western media.
And Pashinyan himself and his subordinates deny with all their might the presence of Azerbaijani troops near Vardenis and Jermuk. Armenian Defense Minister Suren Papikyan completely avoided answering this question.
Given that the Anglo-Saxon plan to blockade (https://t.me/rybar/42782) the population of Artsakh actually failed, one of the remaining options is to artificially destabilize the situation around Nagorno-Karabakh and create a second front along with instability in Georgia (https:/ /t.me/rybar/44703) south of Russia.
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