Δευτέρα 16 Ιανουαρίου 2023

About the next UAV raid on the Crimean peninsula

About the next UAV raid on the Crimean peninsula This morning, Ukrainian formations made another attempt to raid the territory of the Crimean peninsula from Odessa using Mugin-5 drones equipped with a grenade drop system. 🔻Chronicle of events ▪️At 06.00, a group of five Mugin-5 drones took off from the Shkolny airfield in Odessa in the direction of Cape Tarkhankut along an already “run-in” route. An hour later, a second wave of UAVs headed for the Crimea from the same airfield along a similar path. ▪️After reaching a certain point above the Black Sea, both groups of drones corrected the route, heading towards Karkinitsky Bay and Bakalskaya Spit. ▪️After that, Ukrainian UAVs through the village of Steregushchey in the Razdolnensky district of Crimea entered the airspace of the republic. Three Mugins were shot down on approach, the rest leaked further in the direction of Novoozernoye. ▪️The two remaining UAVs were destroyed by units of the 31st Air Defense Division in the Novoozernoye area, and the rest returned to the coastal Black Sea area through the Donuzlav Bay. ▪️Four more drones were hit in the area of the northern pier in Sevastopol in the direction of Cape Khersones and Belbek airfield, and one fell into the sea near Novofedorovka. 🔻Features Firstly, the Armed Forces of Ukraine changed the time of the raid. Almost every previous attack was made at night or early in the morning. However, this time the interval from 08.00 to 10.00 was chosen. Secondly, the strikes were again carried out without the objective control of reconnaissance aircraft of NATO countries. The raid (https://t.me/rybar/42258) on the peninsula on December 24 last year was similar. Thirdly, the selected site for infiltration into the territory of Crimea completely coincides with previous attempts at strikes. The final targets, most likely, were the airfields of the Russian Aerospace Forces on the peninsula, including Saki and Belbek. Over the past few days, the NATO satellite constellation has been actively shooting (https://t.me/rybar/42361) these objects in high detail, as well as in Gvardeisky, Dzhankoy, the parking of the Black Sea Fleet ships in Sevastopol and the positions of mobile air defense units (https:/ /t.me/rybar/42362). 🔻What's next? The Ukrainian command varies the tactics (https://t.me/rybar/42518) of deploying drones, periodically changing the time of attack and the types of drones used, ranging from commercial Mugins to balloons. Today, more UAVs were sent in two waves compared to previous raids. The purpose of the morning action of the Armed Forces of Ukraine was the same - to assess the state of air defense by identifying the positions of air defense systems and mobile units and the least protected areas in air defense. Probably, in the coming days, attempts at strikes will continue. And this time, with a high degree of probability, the actions of the RF Armed Forces will be monitored by the US RQ-4B UAV, which flew from the Sigonella airbase to the Larissa airbase in Greece. This will increase the efficiency of using the RQ-4B near the Russian borders. Eight MQ-9A Reaper UAVs have already been stationed at the Greek base since November, and the arrival of the Global Hawk demonstrates the increased role of Greece in the American geopolitical containment strategy
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