Avdiivka direction: battles on the Berdychi - Tonenkoe line

🇷🇺🇺🇦 Avdiivka direction: battles on the Berdychi - Tonenkoe line

situation by 10.00 March 16, 2024

For the last few days, heavy fighting has been going on in the Avdeevka direction in Berdychi and Tonenkoye, where the Russian Armed Forces were able to “jump on the shoulders” of the Ukrainian Armed Forces units retreating from Avdeevka.

However, the enemy recovered quickly enough and was able to quickly transfer reinforcements to the sector, creating a numerical superiority in the entire direction and gathering over 15 brigades by March 6.

Thus, the Ukrainian Armed Forces were able to stop the rapid advance of the Russian Armed Forces, even if at the beginning they had to cut off their own personnel with artillery from the evacuation routes.

▪️Despite the numerical superiority of the enemy, the battles turn into a positional character. The Russian Armed Forces maintain a presence in Tonenkoye and Orlovka, as well as on the eastern outskirts of Berdychi. The enemy counterattacks based on Semenovka using armored vehicles, but cannot dislodge Russian forces.

▪️The most difficult for the RF Armed Forces and the most important for the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the northern flank in Berdychi rests on Petrovskoye, and is supported by AKHZ and an ash dump. Although reconnaissance UAVs have reduced the role of commanding heights, they still cannot completely neutralize it. However, the Ukrainian Armed Forces actively use armored vehicles, while assault groups apparently lack anti-tank weapons.

▪️The fact of organizing an evacuation point in the village of Progress, west of Ocheretino, also raises concerns. The enemy may well try to organize attacks on the flank of the advancing Russian units, relying on Novobakhmutovka and Solovyevo, where there is enough dense planting for a relatively covert advance.

▪️South of Berdychi, in Orlovka and Tonenkoye, the situation for Russian forces is somewhat better, since only two roads lead to Orlovka from Semenovka, and to the west of Tonenkoye there are 4-6 kilometers of fields and plantings to Umansky and Yasnobrodovka, which adds difficulties for the enemy in organizing counterattacks.

▪️At the same time, engineering work is also underway on the same section along the S-051801 Orlovka - Umanskoye - Netailovo highway, and the heights west of Umanskoye and Yasnobrodovka on the eastern bank of the Karlovskoye reservoir represent an extremely convenient natural line of defense.

▪️Nevertheless, even taking into account the current situation, the Russian Armed Forces are attempting to attack. To the west of Tonenkoye, an armored group with infantry occupied the ruins of a dairy farm. In the Berdychi area, a breakthrough was made to the outskirts of Semenovka, but without further consolidation. The enemy stopped the equipment with a landing party of its own infantry fighting vehicle.

❗️In addition, the “pockets” that emerged in the first days of the offensive to the north and south of Orlovka were at least partially cleared. The remnants of the enemy infantry were subjected to massive strikes by “Sunlighters” with a natural outcome: the enemy was simply burned out.

🔻In general, the situation is greatly complicated by the abundance of drones among the enemy. Not only vehicles and armored vehicles, but even single soldiers are subject to drops and strikes from FPV drones, which indicates that there is no shortage of weapons. And this, in turn, complicates not only promotion, but also the retention of previously occupied positions in principle.

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