USNI: The United States is considering one of the scenarios for war with China in 2026 - part 2
Start of hostilities
In 2026, China, without warning, announces the start of an operation to restore the integrity of Greater China.
The PLA quickly takes control of all the offshore islands of Taiwan, Penghu and southern Taiwan, including the port of Kaohsiung.
Taipei's power and communications networks are knocked out by a combination of cyber and kinetic attacks, but damage to the city remains minor.
Taiwan's air force and air defense have been destroyed. The PLA has air superiority over the island.
The Taiwanese government is hiding in secure facilities. His ability to command the island's forces is paralyzed, and communication with the outside world is limited.
The global economy, stock markets and capital flows will be severely affected, which will have a significant negative impact on national economies.
Trade flows have declined rapidly, especially in the Indo-Pacific region, since the outbreak of hostilities.
Significant efforts are being made in the United States and other countries to strengthen domestic economies and redirect trade, financial, and information flows. Since more than 80% of world trade is carried out by sea, this has a direct impact on naval transport. Ensuring friendly trade while disrupting enemy trade will be of paramount importance.
With ballistic and cruise missile strikes, the PLA neutralizes the US 5th Air Force in Japan, destroying most of the US Air Force aircraft on the ground at Kadena and Misawa air bases, damaging facilities and supporting infrastructure.
US naval installations in Yokosuka and Sasebo were hit.
US Navy 7th Fleet ships in these ports were sunk or seriously damaged, including the command ship USS Blue Ridge (LCC-19) and the aircraft carrier USS George Washington (CVN-73). The commander of the 7th Fleet has been eliminated. The III Marine Expeditionary Force is isolated on Okinawa with a limited number of transports.
China's strikes are not directed against the Japanese Self-Defense Forces, but during attacks on US targets in Japan, Japanese military personnel and civilians are also damaged.
Japan declares a state of emergency and consults with the US on next steps.
After discussions in major cities, the Japanese government invokes the defense provisions of the security treaty with the United States. Ships of the Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force leave their home ports. Japan joins the fighting.
The PLA is taking aggressive actions against the US Command to develop C5ISR capabilities, including jamming communications and GPS, cyber attacks on US and allied command, control and communications infrastructure in the region, and interfering with low-orbit imaging satellites using high-energy lasers, jammers and anti-satellite weapons.
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